• A combined estimate of global temperature 

      Guttorp, Peter; Craigmile, Peter F. (NR-notat;, Research report, 2021)
    • Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules 

      Heinrich, Claudio Constantin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Schneider, Max; Guttorp, Peter (NR-notat;, Research report, 2020)
      We introduce a class of proper scoring rules for evaluating spatial point process forecastsbased on summary statistics. These scoring rules rely on Monte-Carlo approximation ofan expectation and can therefore easily be ...