• A Benchmarking Dataset for Seasonal Weather Forecasts 

      Lenkoski, Alex; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda (NR-notat;, Research report, 2022)
    • Bridging the scale gap: obtaining high-resolution stochastic simulations of gridded daily precipitation in a future climate 

      Yuan, Qifen; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Beldring, Stein; Wong, Wai Kwok; Xu, Chong-Yu (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Climate change impact assessment related to floods, infrastructure networks, and water resource management applications requires realistic simulations of high-resolution gridded precipitation series under a future climate. ...
    • Data assimilation and statistical post-processing for numerical air quality predictions 

      Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lahoz, William A.; Walker, Sam-Erik (NR-notat;, Research report, 2014)
      This is a joint report based on work by NILU and NR on the use of data assimilation and statistical post-processing tools to improve the air quality prediction in the context of the Bedre Byluft programme. The objective ...
    • Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations of historical surface air temperature extremes using proper evaluation methods 

      Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Sillmann, Jana; Haugen, Marion; Gissibl, Nadine; Sandstad, Marit (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      Reliable projections of extremes by climate models are becoming increasingly important in the context of climate change and associated societal impacts. Extremes are by definition rare events, characterized by a small ...
    • Flexible and consistent Flood–Duration–Frequency modeling: A Bayesian approach 

      Barna, Danielle Marie; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Xu, Chong-Yu (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      Design flood values give estimates of flood magnitude within a given return period and are essential to making adaptive decisions around land use planning, infrastructure design, and disaster mitigation. Many hydrologic ...
    • Forecasting: theory and practice 

      Petropoulos, Fotios; Apiletti, Daniele; Assimakopoulos, Vassilios; Babai, Mohamed Zied; Barrow, Devon K.; Ben Taieb, Souhaib; Bergmeir, Christoph; Bessa, Ricardo J.; Bijak, Jakub; Boylan, John E.; Browell, Jethro; Carnevale, Claudio; Castle, Jennifer L.; Cirillo, Pasquale; Clements, Michael P.; Cordeiro, Clara; Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz; De Baets, Shari; Dokumentov, Alexander; Ellison, Joanne; Fiszeder, Piotr; Franses, Philip Hans; Frazier, David T.; Gilliland, Michael; Gönül, M. Sinan; Goodwin, Paul; Grossi, Luigi; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; Guidolin, Mariangela; Guidolin, Massimo; Gunter, Ulrich; Guo, Xiaojia; Guseo, Renato; Harvey, Nigel; Hendry, David F.; Hollyman, Ross; Januschowski, Tim; Jeon, Jooyoung; Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Kang, Yanfei; Koehler, Anne B.; Kolassa, Stephan; Kourentzes, Nikolaos; Leva, Sonia; Li, Feng; Litsiou, Konstantia; Makridakis, Spyros; Martin, Gael M.; Martinez, Andrew B.; Meeran, Sheik; Modis, Theodore; Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos; Önkal, Dilek; Paccagnini, Alessia; Panagiotelis, Anastasios; Panapakidis, Ioannis; Pavía, Jose M.; Pedio, Manuela; Pedregal, Diego J.; Pinson, Pierre; Ramos, Patrícia; Rapach, David E.; Reade, J. James; Rostami-Tabar, Bahman; Rubaszek, Michał; Sermpinis, Georgios; Shang, Han Lin; Spiliotis, Evangelos; Syntetos, Aris A.; Talagala, Priyanga Dilini; Talagala, Thiyanga S.; Tashman, Len; Thomakos, Dimitrios; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Todini, Ezio; Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramón; Wang, Xiaoqian; Winkler, Robert L.; Yusupova, Alisa; Ziel, Florian (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
    • Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the Greater Horn of Africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts 

      Scheuerer, Michael; Bahaga, Titike Kassa; Segele, Z.T.; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2024)
      This works proposes a probabilistic framework for rainy season onset forecasts over Greater Horn of Africa derived from bias-corrected, long range, multi-model ensemble precipitation forecasts. A careful analysis of the ...
    • Quantile based modeling of diurnal temperature range with the five-parameter lambda distribution 

      Vandeskog, Silius Mortensønn; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Steinsland, Ingelin; Lindgren, Finn (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Diurnal temperature range is an important variable in climate science that canprovide information regarding climate variability and climate change. Changesindiurnaltemperaturerangecanhaveimplicationsforhydrology,humanhealthand ...
    • Spatial trend analysis of gridded temperature data at varying spatial scales 

      Haug, Ola; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Sørbye, Sigrunn Holbek; Franzke, Christian L.E. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)
    • Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules 

      Heinrich, Claudio Constantin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Schneider, Max; Guttorp, Peter (NR-notat;, Research report, 2020)
      We introduce a class of proper scoring rules for evaluating spatial point process forecastsbased on summary statistics. These scoring rules rely on Monte-Carlo approximation ofan expectation and can therefore easily be ...